Outcomes

Survival by cohort

How many companies of each cut-off are still operating one to five years after the award. Insolvencies and closures count as not operating; acquisitions are counted separately, since the business usually continues inside the buyer.

575 of 831 winners checked by Rasph

69% covered

Rasph investigates the winners one by one, in the order of the official results tables. All deep dives on Rasph

Still operating after the award

Checked companies still operating per year after the cut-off
Cut-offWinnersCheckedAfter 1 yearAfter 2 yearsAfter 3 yearsAfter 4 yearsAfter 5 years
June 20216565100%(65 of 65)100%(65 of 65)100%(65 of 65)97%(63 of 65)91%(59 of 65)
October 20219999100%(99 of 99)99%(98 of 99)95%(94 of 99)92%(91 of 99)not yet
March 20227474100%(74 of 74)97%(72 of 74)93%(69 of 74)91%(67 of 74)not yet
June 20227575100%(75 of 75)100%(75 of 75)96%(72 of 75)92%(69 of 75)not yet
October 2022787899%(77 of 78)97%(76 of 78)91%(71 of 78)not yetnot yet
January 20233232100%(32 of 32)100%(32 of 32)94%(30 of 32)not yetnot yet
March 20235151100%(51 of 51)100%(51 of 51)96%(49 of 51)not yetnot yet
June 2023474798%(46 of 47)98%(46 of 47)98%(46 of 47)not yetnot yet
November 20234242100%(42 of 42)100%(42 of 42)not yetnot yetnot yet
March 20246712100%(12 of 12)100%(12 of 12)not yetnot yetnot yet
October 2024680not yetnot yetnot yetnot yet
March 2025390not yetnot yetnot yetnot yet
October 2025580not yetnot yetnot yetnot yetnot yet
May 2026360not yetnot yetnot yetnot yetnot yet

Every number on this page counts only the 575 companies checked so far, not all 831 winners. The first companies covered are not a random sample, so read the shares as an early picture.

A cohort shows shares once at least 10 of its companies are checked. The year of an insolvency or closure is the month Rasph records for it (thesincedate); a company with no such date counts as operating.